Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.003898 0.004099 0.004305 0.004532 0.004776 0.005031 0.005317
2025-07-13 0.003552 0.003850 0.004168 0.004536 0.004949 0.005401 0.005936
2025-07-20 0.003377 0.003737 0.004133 0.004604 0.005152 0.005773 0.006537
2025-07-27 0.003181 0.003576 0.004020 0.004560 0.005206 0.005958 0.006913
2025-08-03 0.003027 0.003448 0.003930 0.004529 0.005261 0.006136 0.007277
2025-08-10 0.002893 0.003333 0.003845 0.004493 0.005301 0.006288 0.007609
2025-08-17 0.002834 0.003302 0.003855 0.004568 0.005475 0.006609 0.008167
2025-08-24 0.002737 0.003218 0.003796 0.004551 0.005528 0.006775 0.008528
2025-08-31 0.002642 0.003134 0.003730 0.004520 0.005559 0.006908 0.008847
2025-09-07 0.002544 0.003039 0.003646 0.004461 0.005547 0.006982 0.009083
2025-09-14 0.002451 0.002948 0.003564 0.004399 0.005527 0.007039 0.009295
2025-09-21 0.002396 0.002902 0.003536 0.004405 0.005596 0.007221 0.009694
2025-09-28 0.002282 0.002778 0.003404 0.004269 0.005468 0.007122 0.009677
2025-10-05 0.002232 0.002736 0.003377 0.004273 0.005532 0.007297 0.010081
2025-10-12 0.002209 0.002727 0.003393 0.004337 0.005681 0.007600 0.010695
2025-10-19 0.002148 0.002665 0.003336 0.004296 0.005679 0.007680 0.010964
2025-10-26 0.002094 0.002613 0.003290 0.004267 0.005692 0.007781 0.011270
2025-11-02 0.002042 0.002560 0.003242 0.004234 0.005696 0.007868 0.011557
2025-11-09 0.002029 0.002560 0.003265 0.004303 0.005853 0.008196 0.012265
2025-11-16 0.001988 0.002520 0.003231 0.004288 0.005882 0.008324 0.012639
2025-11-23 0.001944 0.002475 0.003190 0.004259 0.005889 0.008416 0.012955
2025-11-30 0.001893 0.002419 0.003132 0.004204 0.005853 0.008437 0.013146
2025-12-07 0.001844 0.002365 0.003073 0.004147 0.005811 0.008445 0.013310